I've finally gotten around to uploading the current version of PAPER to the spreadsheet. It's taken so long to get the data up because I'm now using full play-by-play data instead of just the boxscore data that I was using for past years. This means that I've got actual possession counts for all games, full substitution data for all games not played in Chapel Hill and Blacksburg, and that everything is generally going to be a whole lot more accurate than the previous years.
- Your current All-ACC First Team (on paper, of course): Greivis Vasquez, DeMarcus Nelson, Ty Lawson, K.C. Rivers, and Sean Singletary. This is a guard's league.
- J.J. Hickson and Kyle Singler get all the attention, but Wake's James Johnson is every bit as good as those two.
- The best defensive player in the conference right now is Virginia Tech's Jeff Allen.
- Ben McCauley and Brandon Costner...ouch.
- Look for Virginia's play to continue to improve in the second half of the season as they replace the bulk of Ryan Pettinella's minutes with those of league-average Lars Mikalauskas.
- Every Duke regular has a negative (which is a good thing in this case) Defensive Rate.
I'll be going through this week and completely re-working the code for PAPER. Right now it's basically just using the old system and bypassing all the estimates with real data. The new code will build a new possession model based completely on the PbP data.
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