Bubble Watch: Abbreviated and Late Edition

No time for a full bracket today, unfortunately.

This week there are 24 locks and 10 near-locks, leaving 23 bubble teams vying for 15 spots. Here's where everyone stands:

American Athletic (5 projected bids)

Locks: Cincinnati (100%), Memphis (99%), Louisville (98%)
Near-Locks: Connecticut (96%)
Good Shape: SMU (86%)

Atlantic 10 (4 projected bids)

Locks: Massachusetts (100%), Saint Louis (99%), VCU (99%)
Near-Locks: Geo. Washington (94%)
On The Bubble: St. Joseph's (30%), Richmond (29%)
Long Shots: St. Bonaventure (4%), La Salle (2%)

Atlantic Coast (6 projected bids)

Locks: Duke (100%), Syracuse (100%), Virginia (100%), Pittsburgh (99%)
Near-Locks: Florida St. (94%)
On The Bubble: North Carolina (65%)
Work To Do: Clemson (11%)
Long Shots: N.C. State (7%), Wake Forest (4%), Maryland (4%)

Big 12 (6 projected bids)

Locks: Kansas (100%), Iowa St. (100%), Oklahoma St. (100%)
Near-Locks: Oklahoma (97%), Texas (92%)
Good Shape: Kansas St. (88%)
Work To Do: Baylor (21%), West Virginia (11%)

Big East (3 projected bids)

Locks: Villanova (100%), Creighton (100%)
On The Bubble: Xavier (70%), Providence (36%)
Long Shots: St. John's (5%), Georgetown (4%), Marquette (4%)

Big Ten (6 projected bids)

Locks: Michigan St. (100%), Michigan (100%), Wisconsin (100%), Iowa (100%)
Near-Locks: Minnesota (93%), Ohio St. (92%)
Long Shots: Indiana (5%), Nebraska (5%), Illinois (3%)

Conference USA (1 projected bid)

On The Bubble: Southern Miss (64%)

Ivy (1 projected bid)

Long Shots: Harvard (4%)

Mid-American (1 projected bid)

On The Bubble: Toledo (42%)

Missouri Valley (1 projected bid)

Locks: Wichita St. (100%)

Mountain West (3 projected bids)

Locks: San Diego St. (100%), New Mexico (98%)
On The Bubble: Boise St. (37%)

Pacific 12 (7 projected bids)

Locks: Arizona (100%), UCLA (100%)
Good Shape: Colorado (88%), Oregon (84%), Arizona St. (83%)
On The Bubble: Stanford (74%), California (67%)
Long Shots: Oregon St. (3%), Utah (3%)

Southeastern (5 projected bids)

Locks: Florida (100%), Kentucky (100%)
Good Shape: Missouri (84%)
On The Bubble: Tennessee (64%), LSU (38%)
Work To Do: Arkansas (14%)
Long Shots: Alabama (3%), Mississippi (3%)

Summit (1 projected bid)

Long Shots: North Dakota St. (9%)

West Coast (1 projected bid)

Near-Locks: Gonzaga (93%)
Work To Do: BYU (17%)
Long Shots: St. Mary's (4%)