Friday, March 27, 2009

NCAA Tournament Preview: Midwest Regional Semifinals

Louisville 74.5 – 66.3 Arizona (67.3 possessions)

  FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OR REB PF A TO S B PTS EFG OR% TO% T:G
Arizona 23.8 54.7 5.1 14.3 13.5 18.4 10.9 34.2 16.6 13.2 15.3 6.7 2.7 66.3 .483 .327 .227 .246
Louisville 27.3 61.4 10.5 29.1 9.3 14.6 13.5 35.9 18.4 18.2 12.8 7.6 4.4 74.5 .531 .366 .191 .152
That's not a misprint. TAPE expects Louisville to shoot 29 three-pointers in this game. 41% of Arizona's opponents' shots from the field have come from distance, while 38% of Louisville's attempts have been outside the arc (the national average is 33%), so the expectation is for close to half of the Cardinals' shots to be threes.

Kansas 70.5 – 68.1 Michigan State (68.8 possessions)

  FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OR REB PF A TO S B PTS EFG OR% TO% T:G
Kansas 24.6 54.6 5.9 17.9 15.3 21.3 10.0 34.5 21.0 13.1 14.3 6.4 4.3 70.5 .505 .300 .208 .281
Michigan St. 23.2 58.4 5.2 15.5 16.5 23.8 14.5 37.8 19.8 14.9 13.7 6.9 2.9 68.1 .442 .372 .200 .283

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