Friday, November 9, 2007

9. Boston College

2007 ACC Record: 10-6, t-3rd place
Projected 2008 Record: 7-9 (1054 PARTOBS*, .398 Raw W%)

BC plays a remarkably neutral schedule in 2008. Their six games against the top four teams in the league are split evenly home and away. Four of the seven games against the middle of the league will be played on the road, but that leaves two of the three games aginst Virginia Tech and Wake Forest as highly probable wins in Conte Forum.

Projected Player Contributions:

Al Skinner has employed a very short bench in both of the seasons Boston College has spent in the ACC, and it will be interesting to see if he continues that trend with six new players joining the Eagles this year. Skinner seems to use players like Joe Torre uses relievers, and this much roster turnover could mean intense competition for playing time.

The most intriguing of those newcomers is Vermont transfer Joe Trapani. Trapani was a member of the America East all-freshman team in 2006, scoring 11.4 points per game while grabbing 4.4 rebounds for the Catamounts. If his adjusted numbers are to be believed (and I'm not sure they are--my system of adjusting numbers for transfer players needs some serious tinkering), Trapani could go a long way towards making up for what the Eagles lost when Jared Dudley's eligibility ran out.

*The PARTOBS number next to the team's projected record uses the projected Points, Assists, Rebounds, Turnovers, Blocks, and Steals to arrive at a number that correlates pretty strongly with a team's overall and conference record. The order of the PARTOBS number correlates even more strongly with the order of finish. The predicted order of finish and number of conference wins will be based on that number.

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