2016 Projections Are Live

The 2016 Season Projections page is now live. Unless a player has formally announced that he will make himself eligible for the NBA draft, he is still included in his team's 2016 projection; Duke's projection, for example, does not include Jahlil Okafor but includes Justise Winslow and Tyus Jones. As players are added to and removed from next year's expected rosters, I'll re-run the projections and try to keep them as up-to-date as possible. With several high-profile players (both incoming and outgoing) expected to make their eligibility decisions known over the next couple weeks, there should be some shifting at the top before the roster news slows to a trickle around the end of the academic year.

These projections use historical player comparisons to generate a statistical projection for each returning and incoming player for every team in Division I. It then combines all the player projections into a team projection based on the strengths of that team's players and how their profiles tend to interact with each other to output a team projection.

If there's a player missing from a team's roster, or someone there who doesn't belong, please let me know (by email, twitter, or the contact form) so that I can make the necessary changes. If the player is there but you think his numbers look out of whack, feel free to inquire about that as well. The answer is probably as simple as, "The computer thinks your favorite player isn't as good at basketball as you think he is," but it never hurts to ask.